The Ravens scored a statement win against the San Francisco 49ers on Christmas night, but there are still more regular-season goals to accomplish.
According to ESPN Analytics, the Ravens have a 97% chance of winning the AFC North and 74% chance of finishing as the top seed, which comes with a first-round playoff bye and homefield advantage.
The Ravens (12-3) have a one-game lead over the Miami Dolphins (11-4), their next opponent Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium, in the AFC race.
To win the division:
The Joe Flacco-led Browns (10-5) have won three straight and are still just two games behind the Ravens.
If the Ravens win one of their final two games against the Dolphins or Steelers (8-7), they capture the North and at least one home playoff game.
If the two teams finished tied in the standings, however, Cleveland wins the division. The Steelers and Bengals have been eliminated from AFC North contention. The Bengals have an 18% chance of making the playoffs and the Steelers sit at 12%.
Here's the remaining schedule for the Browns:
Cleveland Browns:
- vs. Jets (6-9)
- @ Bengals (8-7)
To secure the No. 1 seed:
If the Ravens beat the Dolphins, they win the top seed.
If the Dolphins win at M&T Bank Stadium this Sunday, the Ravens would need to beat the Steelers and the Dolphins would have to lose to the Buffalo Bills (9-6) in the regular-season finale. The Bills have won three straight.
The Browns still have a very slim chance (2%) of securing a first-round bye. Essentially, it's been Baltimore and Miami after the Chiefs (9-6) lost to the Raiders in Week 16.