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Who the Ravens Could Face to Start the Playoffs

RB Derrick Henry
RB Derrick Henry

The AFC North title comes down to Saturday afternoon in Week 18.

With the Ravens (11-5) leading the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6) by one game in the division, Baltimore will clinch the AFC North by either beating the Browns (3-13) or a Steelers loss to the red-hot Bengals (8-8).

The Ravens face the Browns Saturday at 4:30 p.m. followed by the Steelers-Bengals game at 8 p.m.

The Ravens are a heavy favorite to win the AFC North as ESPN gives them a 94% chance and Next Gen Stats (NGS) has them with a 92% shot. Baltimore is an 18.5-point favorite over the Browns, the largest spread in the NFL this season, while the Bengals, who have won four straight, are fighting for their playoff lives and favored by three points on the road.

The Ravens will be the No. 3 seed if they win the division, but if they don't, they will slot in as the No. 5 seed. That would mean a rematch with the Texans on the road, just two and a half weeks after Baltimore's 31-2 drubbing of Houston.

If the Ravens win the AFC North, they will either play the Los Angeles Chargers or the Steelers in a wild-card game at M&T Bank Stadium. A Steelers loss and Chargers win (at Raiders) would mean the Ravens and Steelers play for the third time this season, but any other combination would set up HarBowl IV.

According to NGS, if the Ravens win the division, they have a 68% chance to play the Chargers and 32% shot to face the Steelers. The Ravens split their season series with the Steelers, winning the most recent matchup by 17 at M&T Bank Stadium, and Baltimore beat the Chargers on the road in Week 12, 30-23.

After starting the season 0-2 and chasing the Steelers for most of the year, the Ravens can clinch the division Saturday in front of a home crowd.

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